Yes 99% · No 1%. Smart money leans No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). Volume $498k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $379k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 76% · No 25% | $28k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 98% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 3 (75 bps) 0% | $23k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 76% · 1 (25 bps) 23% · 3 (75 bps) 1% | $17k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 74% · 25 bps increase 19% · 25 bps decrease 4% | $16k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 76% · Hike–Pause–Pause 22% · Other 1% | $14k |
| Bank of Canada Decision in December? | No Change 74% · 25 bps increase 27% | $8k |
| Fed Decision in March? | No change 55% · 25 bps increase 36% · 50+ bps decrease 2% | $6k |
Economics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.