What are the odds for “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 82% · Yes 18%, on $32k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?”?

Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 79¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

No 82% · Yes 18%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 79¢). Volume $32k, liquidity $62k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
82%
Yes
18%
Volume
$32k
Liquidity
$62k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

3 wallets · 664 known shares

Drunken-Mentat
entry 84¢ · all-time +$5.6k · win 77%
eCashwhale
entry 79¢ · all-time +$289k · win 69%
Talophex
entry — · all-time +$44k · win 79%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 82% · Yes 18%, on $32k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?”?: Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 79¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

live

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

82%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No664100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$220k	$71k	-7.2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$152k	$108k	4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$131k	$638k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$119k	$332k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$92k	$64k	0.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$84k	$327k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 26% · No 75%	$77k	$93k	-5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$184k	-0.2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 17¢ask 19¢spread 2¢mid 18¢

SizeBid

AskSize

25517¢

19¢563

1.7k16¢

20¢1.9k

36415¢

21¢2.1k

64214¢

22¢1.2k

38013¢

23¢48

30012¢

24¢50

30011¢

25¢520

85310¢

27¢200

3409¢

30¢2.5k

3.0k8¢

44¢3.4k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
Kshzx	Yes	6k	16¢	$1k	$2k
shdpahdfuldfk88	Yes	5k	19¢	$778.53	−$2k
aybigspender	Yes	4k	15¢	$599	$8k
Nonameye	Yes	2k	16¢	$248.62	−$740.22
Mrdov	Yes	625	16¢	$100	−$133.86
KakiBatusik	Yes	479	18¢	$86	$4k
armin2fm	Yes	438	20¢	$49.71	−$226.35
Ofers69	Yes	353	21¢	$58.64	−$2k
0x9c63…ab50	Yes	262	19¢	$48.84	$1k
RealRonnieTyler	Yes	254	19¢	$42.25	$719.60
0x47aa…a209	No	4k	85¢	$3k	$3k
AlAhmeda	No	4k			−$94k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$19k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k