Question 1

What are the odds for “Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?” on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

Yes 58% · No 42%, on $17k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Question 2

Who is the smart money on “Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?”?

Accepted Answer

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Question 3

Where does this data come from?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Question 4

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Accepted Answer

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?

Who holds each side.

Yes

No

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Di… · odds, 1 month

Current odds

Smart money by side · known shares

Tape · this market, $500+

Other markets by 24h volume

Smart-money conviction · Other