Yes won. Volume $40k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
BrownBees took +$251 on Yes from 83¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.2k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 3% | $41k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 65% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 45% · November 11 23% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BrownBees | Yes | $250.90 |
| BitKiller | Yes | $57.05 |
| unocorn | Yes | $51.50 |
| smellyEllie | Yes | $34.40 |
| makeit99 | Yes | $29.07 |
| Kdgl | Yes | $28.80 |
| AlanTeixido28 | Yes | $26 |
| Diplopia2 | Yes | $22.50 |
| UmaSucksBalls | Yes | $17.50 |
| 0x34a9… | Yes | $17.37 |
| bechamel | Yes | $15.59 |
| SamsClub-VIP | Yes | $11.91 |
93 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $634; the 48 biggest losers gave up $2.8k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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