No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 1¢). Volume $4.2k, liquidity $12k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
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| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $227k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $153k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $130k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $120k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $93k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $83k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $77k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 42% · No 58% | $72k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paddaa | Yes | 5k |
| mapleleafgrief | Yes | 796 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 588 |
| ToTheWindow | Yes | 348 |
| 0x8e6f…67e3 | Yes | 303 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 300 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 180 |
| Lucerys | Yes | 177 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 162 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 124 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 8k |