No won. Volume $139k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Ersicolus took +$8 on Yes from 0¢; the biggest loser gave up $10.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $629k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $171k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Ersicolus | Yes | $7.95 |
| frostyk | Yes | $5.62 |
| vaibhavvg | Yes | $3.98 |
| 0x18db… | Yes | $3.01 |
| 0x8dc4… | Yes | $2.83 |
| Mysaria | No | $1.60 |
| 0x688b… | Yes | $1.58 |
| mihai.andreicut | Yes | $1.24 |
| Nowayfolding | Yes | $0.98 |
| 0x0aa0… | Yes | $0.64 |
| bigdaddymostache | Yes | −$10.00 |
| smallf | Yes | −$6.89 |
28 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $29; the 18 biggest losers gave up $57. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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