Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 90¢) and lost. Volume $404k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
271 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $79k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $227k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $153k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $130k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $120k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $93k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $83k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $77k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 42% · No 58% | $72k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| SlotinCap | Yes | $47k |
| 0xfc2f… | Yes | $6k |
| nennou | Yes | $4k |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | $2k |
| CriptanTDA | Yes | $2k |
| mapleleafgrief | Yes | $2k |
| jacksam96 | Yes | $1k |
| 0xcdbc… | Yes | $1k |
| 0x8e6f… | Yes | $998.99 |
| 0xc327… | Yes | $883.04 |
| wac45 | Yes | $619.83 |
| Huludubu | Yes | $594.67 |