Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?

Yes 70% · No 30%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢). Volume $38k, liquidity $28k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

Yes
70%
No
30%
Volume
$38k
Liquidity
$28k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 2,842 known shares

smellyElliewhale
entry 50¢ · P&L $111k · win 53%
Outsmarterwhale
entry 68¢ · P&L $75k · win 74%
Robbbwhale
entry 79¢ · P&L $83k · win 79%
whigwhale
entry — · P&L $314k · win 62%
rexcom
entry 38¢ · P&L $12k · win 54%

No

4 wallets · 116 known shares

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?: Yes 70% · No 30%, on $38k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?

live

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in th… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

70%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 51% · Gadi Eizenkot 35% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$14.7M	$1.4M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$279k	$176k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$145k	$87k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 90% · No 11%	$141k	$64k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$125k	$162k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$122k	$49k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$78k	$307k
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$77k	$32k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction