No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 96¢). Volume $19k, liquidity $59k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $5.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $1.0M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $988k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $596k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $535k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 5k |
| n1122 | Yes | 4k |
| ks2op | Yes | 3k |
| sweetj | Yes | 1k |
| macarena2 | Yes | 1k |
| Wegamble777 | Yes | 1k |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 549 |
| 426figures | Yes | 496 |
| duder228 | Yes | 456 |
| claudi23 | Yes | 450 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 15k |
| okalright | No | 3k |
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