Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory on Polymarket: Talarico 3-6% leads at 34%, ahead of Talarico 0-3% at 23% and Paxton 0-3% at 16%. 10 outcomes are listed, $265k has traded on the event, $513k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Talarico 3-6%, +12.5 pts. 3 ranked wallets back Talarico 3-6% at an average entry of 25¢. Every smart wallet on Talarico 3-6% on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Talarico 3-6% | 34% | live | ||
| 2Talarico 0-3% | 23% | live | ||
| 3Paxton 0-3% | 16% | live | ||
| 4Talarico 6-9% | 15% | live | ||
| 5Paxton 3-6% | 7% | live | ||
| 6Talarico 12%+ | 4% | live | ||
| 7Talarico 9-12% | 4% | live | ||
| 8Paxton 6-9% | 2% | live | ||
| 9Paxton 9-12% | 1% | live | ||
| 10Paxton 12%+ | 1% | live |
Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.