No 83% · Yes 18%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 90¢). Volume $627, liquidity $4.0k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
4 ranked wallets bought No at 90¢. It’s 83¢ now — −8% on paper.
Track all 4 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $655k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $256k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $193k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $96k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $87k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $72k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $71k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 2B9S | Yes | 162 |
| RivieraNickMd | Yes | 68 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 51 |
| SuperDog23 | Yes | 50 |
| romanew-1-new | Yes | 35 |
| suntori | Yes | 26 |
| 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | 6 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 6 |
| wrongdirection | Yes | 3 |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 1 |
| Anjun | No | 307 |
| Lbr9 | No | 38 |
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