Yes won. Smart money backed No (15 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $373k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x9868… took +$17k on Yes from 46¢; the biggest loser gave up $7.8k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $624k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 57% · No 43% | $246k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $85k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 60% · No 41% | $70k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9868… | Yes | $17k |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | $6k |
| TulipoII | Yes | $4k |
| 0x00c0… | Yes | $3k |
| EasyGoingA | Yes | $1k |
| 0xec56… | Yes | $1k |
| suuuuuu | Yes | $1k |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | $850.24 |
| Hossein-m | Yes | $802.27 |
| SquirrelTheMerchant | Yes | $405.81 |
| StuartLP | No | $393.05 |
| .chat | Yes | $383.82 |
414 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $43k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $21k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.