No won. Volume $44k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x022c… took +$37 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $244.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $654k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $254k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $172k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $158k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $144k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $83k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 58% · No 42% | $77k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $77k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x022c… | No | $36.95 |
| Revered | No | $30.44 |
| kfgedswda | No | $5.28 |
| 0xb121… | No | $4.94 |
| mucousstrange | No | $4.48 |
| nog.04-back | No | $4.08 |
| ovensoperas | No | $3.65 |
| trace-acres0j | No | $3.56 |
| nbngsds3 | No | $3.47 |
| vino1234 | No | $3.45 |
| Sterling655 | No | $3.15 |
| griddle-brokers | No | $2.94 |
40 wallets held a position at the close. The 26 biggest winners took $133; the 14 biggest losers gave up $412. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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