Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · resolved

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $56k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
No
Smart money lost
Yes
Volume
$56k
Closed
Jul 31, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 472 known shares

grothwhale
entry 25¢ · all-time +$148k · win 68%
0x138b1b19B71472e3c1A89F076924cD0467
entry 89¢ · all-time +$8.4k · win 36%

Nowon

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

Who won “Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?” on Polymarket?: No won; it closed Jul 31, 2026, on $56k of volume. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 25¢) and lost. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?”?: Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

live

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of t… · odds to the close

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Result

Market & odds history

100%

No · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Yes472100%

Top Geopolitics wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
endlessFate	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$227k	$83k	-7.3%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$153k	$91k	4.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$130k	$649k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$331k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$93k	$43k	1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$83k	$324k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 26% · No 75%	$77k	$89k	-5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$183k	-0.1%

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Nothing settled yet — winners and losers appear once the market resolves.

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
2Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$18k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k