No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 97% | $289k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $179k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $130k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $109k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $106k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $93k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $83k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| idl | No | $21.83 |
| 0x867a… | No | $21.05 |
| Isekai | No | $14.40 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | $12.63 |
| Costasco | No | $10.88 |
| frozenriver | No | $9.00 |
| TronOG | No | $6.18 |
| fastandfudurious | No | $5.60 |
| D222222222 | No | $5.60 |
| 0x1ef0… | No | $5.60 |
| altar07 | No | $4.20 |
| Wowiwow | No | $2.36 |
50 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $128; the 33 biggest losers gave up $339. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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