Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $672k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Fulgurator took +$2.7k on Yes from 31¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.8k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 32% · No 69% | $85k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $52k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0% | $51k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $47k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $31k |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $26k |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $24k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Donald Trump Jr. 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $21k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Fulgurator | Yes | $3k |
| neuiwsance | Yes | $2k |
| 6482f | Yes | $2k |
| Barkshire-Hathaway | Yes | $2k |
| Outsmarter | Yes | $917.21 |
| Cattail | Yes | $580.96 |
| danypotter | Yes | $440 |
| FDTpuissance | Yes | $430.02 |
| mrBet | Yes | $372.05 |
| Yirmeyahu | Yes | $342.66 |
| 0x45d3… | Yes | $339.14 |
| VvVvV | Yes | $315.76 |
791 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $19k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $18k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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