What are the odds for “Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?” on Polymarket?

No 92% · Yes 8%, on $2.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?

No 92% · Yes 8%. Volume $2.0k, liquidity $5.0k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
92%
Yes
8%
Volume
$2.0k
Liquidity
$5.0k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 45 known shares

smellyElliewhale
entry 23¢ · all-time +$114k · win 53%

No

1 wallets · 20 known shares

SmartBoyBilly
entry 77¢ · all-time −$10k · win 50%

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?” on Polymarket?: No 92% · Yes 8%, on $2.0k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?

live

Will two people dissent the January Fed decision? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

91.8%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes4569%
No2031%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$121k	$2.1M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$26k	$704k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$21k	$157k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 90% · 25 bps decrease 10%	$11k	$29k
Bank of Canada Decision in December?	No Change 62% · 25 bps increase 38%	$10k	$10k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 93% · No change 7%	$10k	$12k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?	25 bps increase 40% · 25 bps decrease 16%	$7k	$2k
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes 13% · No 88%	$7k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 6.5¢ask 9.9¢spread 3.4¢mid 8.2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

806.5¢

9.9¢100

1406.4¢

10¢80

1156.3¢

10¢50

4904.6¢

10¢80

313.5¢

11¢39

692.8¢

16¢117

62.1¢

19¢30

2352¢

19¢13

1.3k1¢

25¢20

100.7¢

25¢75

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
AiBird	Yes	783	$143k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	302	$193k
Petyaaa	Yes	117	$73k
Dr.PNL	Yes	73	−$500k
LornaPredicts	Yes	50	$15k
smellyEllie	Yes	45	$114k
rar111	Yes	35	$752.88
Bsau4	Yes	31	$2k
Perypery	Yes	15	$47k
79fsdfs	Yes	13	−$216.37
0xa5ef39	No	1k	$0
cigarettes	No	80	−$71k

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$30k
2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$3k
3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$2k
4Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
5Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?$285.05