No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
13 ranked wallets bought Yes at 17¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 13 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $640k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $245k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $170k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $86k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anas10 | Yes | 206k |
| ohcrikey | Yes | 69k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 32k |
| 0xc210…f0ca | Yes | 19k |
| 0x4c41…d286 | Yes | 10k |
| joeBanana2 | Yes | 7k |
| wan123 | Yes | 6k |
| Kickstand8 | Yes | 4k |
| WickRick | Yes | 4k |
| 0x1d81…5c1e | Yes | 3k |
| 0x38a1fc | No | 192 |
| tom.and.bob | No | 13 |
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