No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought Yes at 29¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $218k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $217k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 86% | $105k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 32% · No 69% | $90k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $64k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 58% · No 42% | $59k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 63% · No 37% | $56k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 36% · No 64% | $53k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wan123 | Yes | 25k |
| bigboytrader8 | Yes | 24k |
| 0x477944 | Yes | 17k |
| Rishi.sunak | Yes | 13k |
| Kahunadale | Yes | 11k |
| 0x878f…1755 | Yes | 8k |
| 0x1d81…5c1e | Yes | 6k |
| Tk2025 | Yes | 4k |
| Tinto | Yes | 4k |
| KIGNX | Yes | 3k |
| 0x6db4…b760 | No | 60 |
| Tabascualo | No | 59 |
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