No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
11 ranked wallets bought Yes at 23¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 11 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $660k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $177k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $81k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $70k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aaaaaguess | Yes | 13k |
| tetrose | Yes | 11k |
| Kahunadale | Yes | 8k |
| Elieco25 | Yes | 5k |
| PhongLeXBT | Yes | 4k |
| chickendimmer | Yes | 4k |
| Otero | Yes | 3k |
| AlexPromoTeam | Yes | 2k |
| mohammadfromgaza | Yes | 2k |
| condogreturns2 | Yes | 2k |
| 0xcc03…e310 | No | 126 |
| DonaldCuck | No | 24 |
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