No 86% · Yes 14%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 72¢). Volume $321, liquidity $21k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
5 ranked wallets bought No at 72¢. It’s 86¢ now — +19% on paper.
Track all 5 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Get10 | Yes | 164 |
| pa4ul | Yes | 88 |
| 0xcbffcd | Yes | 25 |
| noblesse.oblige | Yes | 24 |
| CompulsiveGambler | No | 100 |
| frozenriver | No | 88 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 45 |
| NeevS | No | 25 |
| KrackenSruster | No | 22 |
| Eia | No | 20 |
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.