No 99% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 91¢). Volume $3.1k, liquidity $9.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $787k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $237k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $219k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $183k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 313 |
| Convex79 | Yes | 215 |
| V4grant | Yes | 90 |
| Twocat | Yes | 80 |
| MusakaKing | Yes | 77 |
| nutter888 | Yes | 60 |
| LovelyPanda | Yes | 58 |
| 0x553324 | Yes | 52 |
| richyee | Yes | 50 |
| 0x462996 | Yes | 30 |
| zthunderfury | No | 923 |
| OraculumNobius | No | 250 |
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