No won. Volume $92k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
injailjustvisiting took +$101 on Yes from 13¢; the biggest loser gave up $212.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $676k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 56% · No 44% | $267k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $251k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $164k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $82k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $70k |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| injailjustvisiting | Yes | $100.80 |
| Gohst | No | $61.05 |
| drigues | No | $39.24 |
| KelseyOrtiz4634 | Yes | $36.60 |
| 73070 | Yes | $35.35 |
| JamesErickson6801 | Yes | $32.85 |
| GambleNatto | No | $24.50 |
| Jydyjyd | No | $23 |
| ElijahMoody8180 | No | $20.50 |
| lilmeechbmf | No | $20.20 |
| da66ers | No | $19.63 |
| DZA-66 | No | $18.60 |
237 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $990; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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