No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢). Volume $20k, liquidity $4.8k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 52% · 16-19 18% · <12 9% | $2k |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | Yes 82% · No 18% | $519.29 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $388.36 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $327.15 |
| How many SpaceX launches in November 2026? | <13 84% · 13 18% · 16+ 12% | $275 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $236 |
| Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $235.77 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 70% · 120-139 28% · 180-199 6% | $217.44 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dedidanc | Yes | 2k |
| donthackme | Yes | 1k |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa837…34ea | Yes | 993 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 923 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 679 |
| balthazar | Yes | 619 |
| haouibao | Yes | 525 |
| ImSweating | Yes | 519 |
| 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | 443 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 13k |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 32 |
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
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