No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $3.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Tokor took +$98 on No from 81¢; the biggest loser gave up $57.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 37% · $1.5–$1.75T 26% · $1.75–$2.0T 16% | $202k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 87% · No 13% | $64k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $63k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 77% · No 23% | $48k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 88% · Anthropic 11% | $46k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $43k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $29k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $25k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Tokor | No | $97.61 |
| Bla-485 | No | $47.64 |
| betty4 | No | $30.80 |
| chidubem | No | $20.90 |
| 0xcb02… | No | $1.33 |
| PrivetProperty | No | $1.04 |
| C03B | No | $0.71 |
| cjienew | No | $0.66 |
| test456y78 | Yes | −$56.99 |
| balabol1 | Yes | −$26.68 |
| Dimpled-Foal | Yes | −$19.50 |
| 0x0b87… | Yes | −$12.26 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $201; the 12 biggest losers gave up $152. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Economics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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