What are the odds for “Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 99% · Yes 1%, on $88k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $88k, liquidity $30k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$88k
Liquidity
$30k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 63 known shares

LesterDiamondwhale
entry — · all-time +$223k · win 48%
GingerMcKenna
entry 99¢ · all-time +$42k · win 52%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry 98¢ · all-time +$28k · win 50%

No

1 wallets · 7 known shares

JordanMooney
entry 97¢ · all-time +$23k · win 49%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $88k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?

live

Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes6390%
No710%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$187k	$72k	-0.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$152k	$322k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$146k	$52k	0.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$130k	$497k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 93% · No 8%	$126k	$60k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$87k	$54k	3.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 9% · No 92%	$83k	$43k	-1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$70k	$47k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.9¢ask 1.2¢spread 0.3¢mid 1¢

SizeBid

AskSize

350.9¢

1.2¢160

460.8¢

1.3¢171

670.7¢

1.4¢78

1320.6¢

1.5¢86

3330.5¢

1.6¢187

3.6k0.4¢

1.7¢695

4.2k0.3¢

1.8¢283

9.1k0.2¢

1.9¢264

20k0.1¢

2¢201

2.6¢13

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
Tiger888888	Yes	15k	3¢	$374.94	−$283.44
CounselGambit	Yes	5k	1¢	$40	−$1k
mitdemwind	Yes	4k	1¢	$31.59	−$397.76
0x1ff3d3	Yes	3k	1¢	$20.05	$3k
stavr	Yes	2k	1¢	$11.00	−$836.97
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	2k			$193k
fiter	Yes	2k			$53k
paddaa	Yes	1k			$316k
LornaPredicts	Yes	1k			$15k
donthackme	Yes	930			$724k
0xa5ef39	No	43k			$0
wish-	No	1k			$71k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$18k
2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$8k
3US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?$8k