Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $1.2k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$1.2k
Liquidity
$11k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

live

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.9%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$287k	$55k	-5.5%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$182k	$92k	3.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$151k	$54k	0.7%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$109k	$322k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$103k	$55k	1.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 74%	$102k	$89k	-4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$92k	$719k	-1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$84k	$45k	-8%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
HolyMoses7	Yes	762	$192k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	345	$173k
Haradwaith	Yes	303	−$421k
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes	150	$21k
Lucerys	Yes	122	$290k
jackli003	Yes	102	$646.31
balthazar	Yes	90	$1.2M
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	84	−$80k
ghorrock	Yes	60	$1k
youtube-trader	Yes	56	−$6k
0xa5ef39	No	2k	$0

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$44k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
4US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?$25k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$21k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?$16k
7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
8US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$7k
9Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
10US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$1k

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $1.2k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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