No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 98¢). Volume $40k, liquidity $24k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 77% | $100k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $81k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $38k |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes 34% · No 66% | $14k |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31? | Yes 17% · No 83% | $8k |
| 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | JD Vance 41% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8% · Gavin Newsom 3% | $8k |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| for-the-lulz | Yes | 3k |
| 0xee6712 | Yes | 757 |
| 0x6b0ebb | Yes | 353 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 200 |
| Anjun | Yes | 111 |
| mshcpx | Yes | 100 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 70 |
| Charlottelo | Yes | 55 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 55 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| bernardbulletin | No | 4k |
| aviato | No | 726 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the US politics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.