No won. Volume $5.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $9; the 4 biggest losers gave up $20. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $45k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 62% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 2% | $33k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 60% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 10% | $22k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 26% · November 11 23% · November 3 11% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $14k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $9k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 67% · No 34% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| johnsalchichon | No | $3.03 |
| 0xb444… | No | $1.26 |
| merod | No | $1.26 |
| Wolfgold | No | $1.17 |
| LesterDiamond | No | $0.98 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | No | $0.85 |
| 8dcc906a9b | Yes | −$16.11 |
| 0x637e… | Yes | −$2.37 |
| libratus1 | Yes | −$1.28 |
| acc32 | Yes | −$0.53 |