Kimberly Birrell won. Smart money backed Yue Yuan (11 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 30% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.6M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 36% · Natus Vincere 64% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $689k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% | $514k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $372k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 29% | $313k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $279k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x3cfb… | Kimberly Birrell | $505.75 |
| RichiTP | Kimberly Birrell | $399.72 |
| Epimeteo | Kimberly Birrell | $189.29 |
| Baykus | Kimberly Birrell | $76.52 |
| Scudjeger | Kimberly Birrell | $69.17 |
| GldfingrzHiggs | Kimberly Birrell | $62.36 |
| mrcojocaru | Kimberly Birrell | $61.54 |
| dteenreal | Kimberly Birrell | $59.20 |
| Agallae | Kimberly Birrell | $58.73 |
| 0xe81e… | Kimberly Birrell | $50 |
| 0xe504 | Kimberly Birrell | $49.17 |
| ErgoPhily | Kimberly Birrell | $48.90 |
196 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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