Sorana Cirstea won. Smart money backed Maria Timofeeva (22 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $614k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $895k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $593k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala | Tereza Valentova 21% · Alexandra Eala 79% | $496k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva | Mai Hontama 100% · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1% | $474k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yabanci | Sorana Cirstea | $14k |
| Limousin | Sorana Cirstea | $14k |
| LightParadox | Sorana Cirstea | $12k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Sorana Cirstea | $8k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Sorana Cirstea | $6k |
| Venusian | Sorana Cirstea | $4k |
| MadridTime | Sorana Cirstea | $3k |
| wingwingwin | Sorana Cirstea | $2k |
| 12xmrbolt | Sorana Cirstea | $2k |
| 01258787xy48487484545122 | Sorana Cirstea | $1k |
| bumashuma | Sorana Cirstea | $915.80 |
| heyboy800 | Sorana Cirstea | $713.79 |
359 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $74k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $72k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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