Paula Badosa won. Smart money backed Daria Kasatkina (15 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $547k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Weaseloftheweek took +$11k on Daria Kasatkina from 45¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.9k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 21% · Gen.G 79% | $1.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 11% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $657k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $644k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 1% | $619k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 51% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $611k |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $588k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $506k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz | Casper Ruud 7% · Carlos Alcaraz 93% | $485k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Weaseloftheweek | Daria Kasatkina | $11k |
| paquitomillonario | Paula Badosa | $2k |
| 0x1c70… | Paula Badosa | $512.05 |
| dafguj | Paula Badosa | $343.35 |
| INADEDEN | Paula Badosa | $327.09 |
| 0x9eee… | Paula Badosa | $161.50 |
| 0x018e… | Paula Badosa | $154.94 |
| Daigiadinhngocson | Paula Badosa | $148.39 |
| 0xd3f9… | Paula Badosa | $147.30 |
| ChrisLMartin | Paula Badosa | $135.64 |
| Cbrojasg | Paula Badosa | $121.14 |
| 0x4093… | Paula Badosa | $116.54 |
211 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $16k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $9.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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