Alice Tubello won. Smart money backed Rebeka Masarova (8 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $32k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Glenn Youngkin 1% | $805k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $772k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 69% · Luca Van Assche 31% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $398k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $398k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $361k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hi774c | Alice Tubello | $1k |
| MurkSniper | Alice Tubello | $1k |
| 0x9086… | Alice Tubello | $563.83 |
| clownly | Alice Tubello | $306 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Alice Tubello | $283.76 |
| viniplay | Alice Tubello | $268.76 |
| LightParadox | Alice Tubello | $183.68 |
| 0x25f7… | Alice Tubello | $170.37 |
| fyrsken | Alice Tubello | $159 |
| Venusian | Alice Tubello | $140.14 |
| piggypie | Alice Tubello | $121.20 |
| DM134 | Alice Tubello | $104.55 |
97 wallets held a position at the close. The 59 biggest winners took $5.0k; the 38 biggest losers gave up $3.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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