Mary Stoiana won. Smart money backed Moyuka Uchijima (10 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $520k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
217 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $54k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $30k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $614k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $579k |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF) 12% | $467k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $452k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $448k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tin54321 | Mary Stoiana | $37k |
| isco22 | Mary Stoiana | $6k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Mary Stoiana | $2k |
| chiefphi | Mary Stoiana | $2k |
| avotrade | Mary Stoiana | $2k |
| Luzzzer | Mary Stoiana | $1k |
| Supp | Mary Stoiana | $598.85 |
| viniplay | Mary Stoiana | $473.15 |
| 0xe3bc… | Mary Stoiana | $319.61 |
| justinlee | Mary Stoiana | $280.51 |
| Hiho820 | Mary Stoiana | $269.72 |
| muchova19 | Mary Stoiana | $246.48 |