Zhibek Kulambayeva won. Smart money backed Mei Yamaguchi (5 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $895k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $655k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $353k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $339k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LightParadox | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $936.17 |
| Venusian | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $301.11 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $169.82 |
| 0x0621… | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $143.69 |
| XPX0086 | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $125.92 |
| Limousin | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $97.04 |
| atomiczenmonkey | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $63.74 |
| Ffsler | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $60.21 |
| zoroelnino | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $49.92 |
| MadridTime | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $33.43 |
| hivexyz | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $33 |
| GreyGus | Zhibek Kulambayeva | $18.96 |
93 wallets held a position at the close. The 47 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $5.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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