Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢) and lost. Volume $8.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 58% · Anthropic 44% · OpenAI 0% | $79k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $49k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $43k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $42k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $36k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $28k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $28k |
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 76% | $15k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RaymondLee59181 | Yes | $428.31 |
| KickstandBot | Yes | $44 |
| Tokor | Yes | $16.74 |
| clemoustachiouss2 | Yes | $13 |
| sm-02 | Yes | $11.22 |
| sdflll11 | Yes | $9 |
| ttabbbb | Yes | $9 |
| mutednova | No | $6 |
| lll918dd | Yes | $4.78 |
| bbd113d | Yes | $4.15 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | $2.40 |
| RickRollBaby | Yes | $2.06 |
39 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $555; the 23 biggest losers gave up $1.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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