Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $2.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $3.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.7M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.0M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $760k |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Heat 45% · Clippers 55% | $597k |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Mavericks 6% · Spurs 95% | $448k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Huntress77 | Down | $138.01 |
| hwidelance | Down | $24.50 |
| Yiii159 | Down | $11.32 |
| betty4 | Down | $4.80 |
| 0x121b… | Down | $1.76 |
| EgoVolae | Up | −$160.94 |
| henos | Up | −$33.20 |
| Huntress77 | Up | −$23.54 |
| 0x6123… | Up | −$20 |
| betty4 | Up | −$10 |
| 0x06ce...c70b8b | Up | −$7.39 |
| hstrqzw | Up | −$2.90 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $180; the 7 biggest losers gave up $258. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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