Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $879. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $945k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $923k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $598k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 53% · T1 20% · Bilibili Gaming 14% | $392k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $346k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $156.10 |
| nibbio1 | Up | $19.36 |
| Jo-Push | Up | $17.85 |
| nibbio5 | Up | $10.95 |
| 88888887 | Up | $8.63 |
| 0x3be0… | Up | $4.40 |
| 0x7b7a… | Up | $3.75 |
| 0x5ed7… | Up | $2.82 |
| Nissim1 | Up | $2.75 |
| 0x230d… | Down | $1.47 |
| 0x230d… | Up | $0.90 |
| 0x7b7a… | Down | −$10.89 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $229; the 9 biggest losers gave up $26. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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