Yes won. Volume $8.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $485k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $227k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $172k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $156k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $149k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $140k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes 76% · No 25% | $127k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $119k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sabarinathan | Yes | $159.27 |
| Ssssaj | Yes | $115.82 |
| 0x2280… | Yes | $66.51 |
| YourLostMojo | Yes | $60.90 |
| NewManland | Yes | $59.50 |
| menthe2 | Yes | $49.95 |
| 123mohan | Yes | $31.57 |
| 0x1894… | Yes | $22.78 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | $19.80 |
| Rocklee05 | Yes | $18.75 |
| chakkudu | Yes | $16.48 |
| jc101520 | Yes | $8.93 |
40 wallets held a position at the close. The 20 biggest winners took $651; the 20 biggest losers gave up $440. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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