0x1223987eb4bf8564a932f43e3cec9f28b5ced424
rivermarkets has lost $48k on Polymarket across 310 markets, winning 54% of the ones that resolved — -$42k realized and -$6.6k still open. Politics is the strength: $23k over 18 positions, mostly Trump markets, with Economics next at $8.5k. Right now it holds 9 open positions worth $682, the largest on “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (No). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 19k |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 118 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 205 |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 430 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 166 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 166 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 1 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes | 10 |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 15 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | $11.6M | $22.1M |
| googleplay | $861k | $8.6M |
| ferrariChampions2026 | $23.6M | $7.4M |
| joseph00677 | $5.4M | $7.0M |
| 0x684b… | $1.4M | $4.2M |
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 | $423k | $3.3M |
| 0x2c33… | −$2.3M | $3.1M |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | $33k | $2.9M |
| theowalcott | $960k | $2.6M |
| raybanman | $635k | $2.5M |
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