0x3d4d16b7c8d80687de39950fd19b951f6eb05ac8
Surendipity-Guesser on Polymarket: -$1.5k total P&L, 48% win rate, 165 markets traded, $486k volume.
See the League of Legends Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | $38 | 64¢ | 89¢ | $9.31 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | $33 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $1.73 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | $35 | 88¢ | 91¢ | $0.88 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | $36.14 | 83¢ | 86¢ | $0.90 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $34.88 | 86¢ | 86¢ | $0.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | $32.35 | 93¢ | 91¢ | −$0.81 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | $20 | 63¢ | 97¢ | $6.87 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | $19 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.88 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | $16 | 75¢ | 96¢ | $3.39 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $32.43 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | $17 | 74¢ | 84¢ | $1.61 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | No | $21 | 59¢ | 65¢ | $1.26 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| juice-fruit | $424k | $1.2M | 5.9% | 58.8% | $14.6M |
| Dragon-Evolution | $444k | $790k | 18% | 77.3% | $2.5M |
| qiu3 | −$106k | $703k | -3.5% | 62.3% | $4.7M |
| Ancient-Strike | $464k | $632k | 15.7% | 57.5% | $3.0M |
| MeiGuNiuBi | $87k | $620k | -3.1% | 53.6% | $39.7M |
| Sisyphus- | $561k | $589k | 5.8% | 58.2% | $10.6M |
| Wiretransferxyz | $807k | $519k | 3.2% | 54.9% | $28.1M |
| equalsignificance | $242k | $502k | 3.9% | 54.1% | $5.9M |
| dsasdaas | $332k | $449k | 2.6% | 60.7% | $10.0M |
| Barbozaaa321 | $161k | $369k | 3.5% | 51% | $5.0M |