0x5568fef9d5c02419e50e78f762e02a2356539ea3
manicweather has lost $1.9k on Polymarket across 743 markets, winning 43% of the ones that resolved. Esports is the strength: -$1 over 2 positions. Right now it holds 40 open positions worth $465, the largest on “Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $150 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | No | 44 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? | No | 40 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? | No | 104 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 30 |
| Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between November 2-November 8? | Yes | 40 |
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? | Yes | 100 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? | Yes | 50 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026? | No | 20 |
| Will Jynxzi win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? | No | 32 |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 21% to 25%? | No | 40 |
| Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? | No | 40 |
| Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%? | No | 25 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mooseborzoiii | $1.3M | $7.6M |
| Diabolical-Prize | $745k | $5.7M |
| lllllllIlll | −$54k | $3.2M |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | −$1.5M | $2.7M |
| Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | −$23k | $1.9M |
| THEHIGHLIFE | $2.4M | $1.6M |
| CORGII | −$80k | $1.6M |
| fantasy7788 | $463k | $1.5M |
| juice-fruit | $268k | $1.4M |
| 0xe16d… | −$527k | $1.3M |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Esports wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
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