0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318
balthazar has made $1.2M on Polymarket across 94,261 markets, winning 57% of the ones that resolved. Pop Culture is the strength: $273k over 690 positions, mostly Movies & TV markets, with Tech & Science next at $152k. Right now it holds 2,998 open positions worth $306k, the largest on “Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $854 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 64k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 30k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 14k |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 10k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 64k |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22k |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? | Yes | 6k |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 7k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes | 5k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes | 5k |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 5k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| joseph00677 | $5.4M | $7.0M |
| monkeymashingkeyboard | $1.4M | $4.2M |
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 | $423k | $3.3M |
| Kch-Temp | $2.4M | $2.8M |
| theowalcott | $960k | $2.6M |
| raybanman | $635k | $2.5M |
| chubbytoro | −$604k | $2.3M |
| primm | $3.5M | $1.5M |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | $800k | $1.4M |
| juice-fruit | $458k | $1.4M |
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