0x5c271ab46170c7e42a8334902755aa4495f21555
lukas11 on Polymarket: $6.5k total P&L, 66% win rate, 544 markets traded, $656k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | $828.07 | 69¢ | 75¢ | $48.45 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | $889.29 | 77¢ | 64¢ | −$120.18 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | $601.31 | 73¢ | 93¢ | $116.39 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | $536.90 | 53¢ | 86¢ | $179.86 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | $403.98 | 57¢ | 91¢ | $139.10 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | No | $336.96 | 72¢ | 55¢ | −$56.49 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | No | $170 | 77¢ | 91¢ | $24.50 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | No | $115 | 81¢ | 91¢ | $10.93 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | $94.19 | 79¢ | 75¢ | −$4.24 |
| ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31? | No | $30 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $2.13 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08? AND Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-09-08? | $99.70 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $0 | |
| Amazon announces a training pause by October 31? | No | $20 | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.57 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.5% | 49.7% | $30.5M |
| dromedaryy | $662k | $672k | 8.1% | 41.5% | $11.2M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $513k | 4.3% | 60.9% | $22.2M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| aHjCz | $627k | $365k | 3.3% | 44.2% | $18.6M |
| defillama7 | $613k | $321k | 9.4% | 62.3% | $5.8M |