0x5fa44ddbefd7c2962719dfbe14b9f164104dcd4e
ansatz has made $3.4k on Polymarket across 406 markets, winning 76% of the ones that resolved — $1.7k realized and $1.8k still open. Sports is the strength: $512 over 29 positions, mostly Soccer markets. Right now it holds 84 open positions worth $18k, the largest on “Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No). A high-accuracy account: right far more often than wrong. It spreads small stakes widely, about $383 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1k |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 608 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 480 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 400 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 400 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 400 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 400 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 400 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 400 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $619k |
| 0xd7f8… | $2.3M | $565k |
| 0x4f1d… | $1.4M | $543k |
| 0x0344… | $472k | $523k |
| 0x8d92… | $499k | $499k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.