0x67790a06dd5a6f8213feb998b1b83f86be492ff6
tms2016 has lost $7.4k on Polymarket across 785 markets, winning 71% of the ones that resolved — -$8.5k realized and $1.1k still open. Economics is the strength: $1.4k over 18 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets. Right now it holds 20 open positions worth $26k, the largest on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $441 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 15k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 5k |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? | No | 920 |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | No | 773 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 667 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6? | No | 426 |
| US announces military base in Israel in 2026? | No | 543 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 201 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 147 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 135 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October? | No | 104 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $2.0M | $1.6M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $993k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $889k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
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