0x84f820558e744c1debe52f499a919c115c3b0ff2
OneBadBet has lost $11k on Polymarket across 1,468 markets, winning 69% of the ones that resolved — -$12k realized and $1.2k still open. Other is the strength: $781 over 50 positions. Right now it holds 36 open positions worth $27k, the largest on “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.1k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5k |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2k |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2k |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 2k |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 2k |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 2k |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1k |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1k |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1k |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $1.9M | $1.5M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $1.1M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.0M | $956k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | $1.6M | $711k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.