0x95b437d94903a3948e4826a2a566ee62f68b216d
426figures has lost $11k on Polymarket across 60 markets, winning 6% of the ones that resolved. Other is the strength: -$4.2k over 11 positions, mostly Unattributed markets. Right now it holds 11 open positions worth $320, the largest on “Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?” (Yes). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1k |
| Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? | New Hampshire | 213 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | No | 157 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat? | No | 500 |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 653 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 12k |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | No | 1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | No | 50 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | No | 822 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 496 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | No | 400 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| takeme2themoon | $74k | $74k |
| fildoro | $25k | $39k |
| frede13337 | $39k | $39k |
| tin54321 | $34k | $34k |
| JambonMogettes | $29k | $29k |
| cynical.reason | $25k | $25k |
| fregdf12f | $19k | $24k |
| tradetosurvive1 | −$21k | $24k |
| 0x15d3… | $22k | $24k |
| phredmoz | $15k | $22k |
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