0xcd6be6693e2bc11150d397caa9e6f7c6744b68f5
AlfredTheShiller has made $40k on Polymarket across 1,380 markets, winning 61% of the ones that resolved — $46k realized and -$5.7k still open. Economics is the strength: $3.3k over 47 positions, mostly Fed & Rates markets, with Other next at $1.6k. Right now it holds 19 open positions worth $14k, the largest on “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December…” (No). Full profile on Polynyx ↗
Biggest open bet right now: $7.3k on No in “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December…”, bought at 81¢.
Track this wallet ↗| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 8k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1k |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 5k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10k |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 2k |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2k |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 3k |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 2k |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2k |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | $2.0M | $1.6M |
| timetowander | $1.1M | $1.3M |
| ndb1 | $1.2M | $1.1M |
| CoffeeDespiser | $1.1M | $993k |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | $790k | $865k |
| 0xa3a4… | $1.6M | $863k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $827k |
| duderr | $1.7M | $809k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Politics wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.