0xeb526f42dc37f1a86e7fe97019b1bfe1ac8c67cc
folioquant has lost $3.7k on Polymarket across 542 markets, winning 74% of the ones that resolved — -$2.5k realized and -$1.1k still open. Politics is the strength: $145 over 7 positions, mostly Trump markets. Right now it holds 21 open positions worth $3.0k, the largest on “Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Human…” (Yes). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.8k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 2k |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 542 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 1k |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1k |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 200 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1k |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 150 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 98 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 85 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 200 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 209 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Tokor | $777k | $625k |
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | −$99k | $385k |
| justdance | $1.3M | $331k |
| 0xe5e1… | $225k | $312k |
| 0xf705… | $2.4M | $279k |
| A1729 | $207k | $181k |
| CoinTrick | $195k | $177k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $74k | $175k |
| ApexUpDown | −$5k | $173k |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k |
The same wallet's all-time P&L card, live from Polynyx, and every ranked Crypto wallet by name — free to browse, bots filtered.
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